Bayesian Methods in Finance

Author: Svetlozar T. Rachev ; John S. J. Hsu ; Biliana S. Bagasheva ; Frank J. Fabozzi, CFA
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471920830
Published In: February 2008
Format: Hardback , 329 pages
Jurisdiction: International ? Disclaimer:
Countri(es) stated herein are used as reference only

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Bayesian Methods in Finance provides a detailed overview of the theory of Bayesian methods and explains their real-world applications to financial modeling. While the principles and concepts explained throughout the book can be used in financial modeling and decision making in general, the authors focus on portfolio management and market risk management—since these are the areas in finance where Bayesian methods have had the greatest penetration to date.

New to this Edition

Explains and illustrates the foundations of Bayesian analysis oriented to participants in the finance market. The use of Bayesian methods leads to better portfolio selection and estimation risk. It also provides a very versatile framework to incorporate the prior views of a fund manager into the asset allocation process, and help users to decide on which explanatory variables to include in a model, through Bayesian variable selection techniques.
Provides applications to leading asset management models such as the Black-Litterman model and fundamental factor models.
Provides applications to corporate finance. Includes real options, capital budgeting, dividend payout policy.

Preface.

About the Authors.

Chapter 1. Introduction.

Chapter 2. The Bayesian Paradigm.

Chapter 3. Prior and Posterior Information, Predicative Inference.

Chapter 4. Bayesian Linear Regression Model.

Chapter 5. Bayesian Numerical Computation.

Chapter 6. Bayesian Framework for Portfolio Allocation.

Chapter 7. Prior Beliefs and Asset Pricing Models.

Chapter 8. The Black-Litterman Portfolio Selection Framework.

Chapter 9. Market Efficiency and return Predictability.

Chapter 10. Volatility Models.

Chapter 11. Bayesian Estimation of ARCH-Type Volatility Models.

Chapter 12. Bayesian Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models.

Chapter 13. Advanced Techniques for Bayesian Portfolio Selection.

Chapter 14. Multifactor Equity Risk Models.

References.

Index.

Svetlozar T. Rachev, PhD, Doctor of Science, is Chair-Professor at the University of Karlsruhe in the School of Economics and Business Engineering; Professor Emeritus at the University of California, Santa Barbara; and Chief-Scientist of FinAnalytica Inc.

John S. J. Hsu, PhD, is Professor of Statistics and Applied Probability at the University of California, Santa Barbara.

Biliana S. Bagasheva, PhD, has research interests in the areas of risk management, portfolio construction, Bayesian methods, and financial econometrics. Currently, she is a consultant in London.

Frank J. Fabozzi, PhD, CFA, is Professor in the Practice of Finance and Becton Fellow at Yale University's School of Management and the Editor of the Journal of Portfolio Management.