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Explaining the Evidence: How the Mind Investigates the World

Explaining the Evidence: How the Mind Investigates the World

Explaining the Evidence: How the Mind Investigates the World

Author: David A. Lagnado
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521184816
Published In: October 2021
Format: Paperback
Jurisdiction: U.K. ? Disclaimer:
Countri(es) stated herein are used as reference only

List Price: HKD 442.00

HKD 428.74 Save HKD 13.26 (3%)

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Description
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How do we make sense of complex evidence? What are the cognitive principles that allow detectives to solve crimes, and lay people to puzzle out everyday problems? To address these questions, David Lagnado presents a novel perspective on human reasoning. At heart, we are causal thinkers driven to explain the myriad ways in which people behave and interact. We build mental models of the world, enabling us to infer patterns of cause and effect, linking words to deeds, actions to effects, and crimes to evidence. But building models is not enough; we need to evaluate these models against evidence, and we often struggle with this task. We have a knack for explaining, but less skill at evaluating. Fortunately, we can improve our reasoning by reflecting on inferential practices and using formal tools. This book presents a system of rational inference that helps us evaluate our models and make sounder judgments.

1. The Cliff Death

2. Models in Mind

3. Causal Modelling

4. Thinking Beyond Biases

5. Expert Reasoning in Crime Investigation

6. Questions of Evidence

7. Competing Causes

8. Confirmation Bias: Good, Bad and Ugly

9. Telling Stories

10. Idioms for Legal Reasoning

11. Causal Reasoning in a Time of Crisis

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