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Hybrid Threats and Grey Zone Conflict: The Challenge to Liberal Democracies

Hybrid Threats and Grey Zone Conflict: The Challenge to Liberal Democracies

Author: Mitt Regan; Aurel Sari
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 9780197744772
Published In: August 2024
Format: Hardback
Jurisdiction: U.K. ? Disclaimer:
Countri(es) stated herein are used as reference only

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In the current geopolitical environment, liberal democracies vie for influence and prosperity with autocratic governments, such as those of China and Russia. While the great powers do not shy away from using aggressive force, much of their rivalry today takes place below the threshold of armed conflict, in a conceptual and practical 'grey zone' between war and peace. Autocratic states operate in this grey zone to target the vulnerabilities of liberal democracies, creating hybrid threats that rely on instruments ranging from economic, diplomatic, legal, and informational pressure all the way to military coercion.

Law plays a critical role in this context. In the ethically and legally ambiguous grey zone, international law serves as a normative, yet malleable, framework within which geopolitical rivals compete. State and non-State actors invoke the law as the source of authority, while simultaneously hoping to shape the international legal order in their own strategic interests.

Hybrid Threats and Grey Zone Conflict offers the first in-depth assessment of the legal and ethical aspects of hybrid threats and grey zone conflict. It explores the responses available to democratic nations for countering hybrid and grey zone threats whilst adhering to liberal democratic values and the rule of law. Bringing together diverse scholarly and practitioner perspectives, the volume introduces readers to the conceptual and practical difficulties arising in this area, the rich debates the topic has generated, and the challenges that countering hybrid threats and grey zone conflict poses for liberal democracies. This volume is essential reading for anyone interested in learning more about contemporary forms of strategic competition below the threshold of open hostilities.

1. Introduction

Aurel Sari and Mitt Regan

I - WHAT ARE HYBRID THREATS AND GREY ZONE CONFLICT?

2. The Grey Zone and Hybrid Conflict: A Conceptual Introduction

Christopher Marsh

3. Grey Zone Conflict and Military Affairs: Questioning the Premise

Melanie W. Sisson

4. We Have Met the Grey Zone and He is Us: How Grey Zone Warfare Exploits Our Undecidedness about What Matters to Us

Duncan MacIntosh

5. Legal Aspects of Grey Zone and Hybrid Threats: A Primer

Hitoshi Nasu

6. The Divide between War and Peace

Tobias Vestner

7. Rethinking Coercion in Cyberspace

Ido Kilovaty

II - ARENAS OF HYBRID AND GREY ZONE COMPETITION

8. A Topography of Information-Based Foreign Influence

Beba Cibralic

9. In Pursuit of Geopolitical Advantage: Hacking Below the Threshold of War

Melissa K. Griffith

10. Lawfare, China, and the Grey Zone

Orde F. Kittrie

11. Emerging Bio-Technologies for Disruptive Effects in Grey Zone Engagements

Joseph DeFranco, Diane DiEuliis, L. R. Bremseth, and James Giordano

12. The Maritime Domain

David Letts

13. The Evolving Chinese Strategy in the Arctic: Entering the Grey Zone?

Camilla T. N. Sørensen

14. Hybrid and Grey Zone Operations in Outer Space

Melissa de Zwart

III - INSTRUMENTS, TACTICS, AND METHODS IN THE GREY ZONE

15. Decoding Grey Zone Environments

Andrés B. Muñoz Mosquera and Nikoleta Chalanouli

16. Coercing Well: The Logic, Grammar, and Norms of the Grey Zone

C. Anthony Pfaff

17. Lying in the Grey Zone

Steven Wheatley

18. Rethinking the International Law of Interference in the Digital Age

Steven J. Barela and Samuli Haataja

19. Trapped in the Grey Zone: International Law Applicable to Non-State Actors

Agata Kleczkowska

20. From Red Scare to Red Scare, Grey Zone to Grey Zone: Weaponizing Dissent and Civil Society

Tyler Wentzell and Barbara J. Falk

21. A Grey Zone Analytic Framework for Military Operations

Maegen Nix and Welton Chang

IV - COUNTERING HYBRID AND GREY ZONE THREATS: HOW CAN LIBERAL DEMOCRACIES RESPOND?

22. An Ethical Framework for Assessing Grey Zone Responses

Ed Barrett

23. Winning at the Strategic Seams

Michael A. Newton

24. Legal Resilience: Just a Warm and Fuzzy Concept?

Aurel Sari

25. How to Involve Civil Society in Grey Zone Defence

Elisabeth Braw

26. Security Assistance by Liberal Democracies: Tensions in the Grey Zone

Mitt Regan & Sarah Harrison

27. The Practice of Legal Resilience: Insights from the Maritime Incident of 31 May 2010

Marlene Mazel

28. Legal Resilience from a Finnish Perspective

Tiina Ferm

29. The Path to Legal Resilience

Andrés B. Muñoz Mosquera, Jean Emmanuel Perrin, Panagiotis Sergis, Rodrigo Vázquez Benítez, and Borja Montes Toscano

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